Bad Sauerbrunn vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
64.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
56
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 1
BAS
54%
20%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
RIT
22%
20%
59%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
DEU
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
BAS
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 0
HOR
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KLI
1 - 3
PAR
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 2
PAR
26%
20%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 1
RIT
36%
22%
43%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
4 - 3
PAR
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |