Bad Sauerbrunn vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
11º
9º
63
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 1
BAS
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
GUS
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 3
BAS
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 5
DEU
35%
23%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
USV
0 - 2
BAS
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
KLI
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 3
PAR
11%
15%
74%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
4 - 2
PAR
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
LEI
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |