Bad Sauerbrunn vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
17
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 3
BAS
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DRA
4 - 3
BAS
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
PIN
30%
21%
49%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KLI
3 - 2
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 1
BAS
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAR
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LEI
5 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
RIT
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |