Bad Kötzting vs Wolfratshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
BAD
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 0
GRE
16%
20%
65%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
BAD
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 2
ANS
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WEI
2 - 0
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wolfratshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WOL
0 - 1
NUR
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
WOL
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 1
SCS
15%
22%
63%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
WOL
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WOL
0 - 3
GRO
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |