Bad Kötzting vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+143%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
2 - 1
BAD
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 3
TSW
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DJK
3 - 3
BAD
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
SVM
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
SVL
0 - 2
BAD
8%
14%
78%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
REG
4 - 1
AMM
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
SVM
1 - 2
REG
19%
20%
60%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
2 - 1
REG
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
REG
1 - 4
SVE
76%
15%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
TSW
2 - 3
REG
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |