Bad Kötzting vs Seligenporten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
TSG
4 - 0
BAD
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
BAD
2 - 1
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
WEI
0 - 1
BAD
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
BAD
5 - 3
WUR
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
BAD
6 - 1
WEI
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Seligenporten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
SEL
0 - 3
ERB
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
BAY
0 - 0
SEL
76%
15%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
TSG
4 - 0
SEL
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
SEL
1 - 0
BAY
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
SEL
0 - 2
ARB
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 78 | 54 | 0 |