Bad Kötzting vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FEU
2 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAD
0 - 0
MEM
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
EIN
1 - 1
BAD
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAD
6 - 1
GRO
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
WEI
3 - 0
BAD
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
HEI
1 - 0
WEI
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
HEI
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
HEI
3 - 0
UNT
38%
26%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAY
3 - 1
HEI
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
HEI
3 - 1
WAC
69%
18%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |