Bad Kötzting vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BAD
1 - 3
MEM
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BAD
1 - 1
TSG
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAD
0 - 0
WEI
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WUR
2 - 1
BAD
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BAD
2 - 1
ANS
56%
22%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ERB
0 - 0
BAY
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ERB
2 - 1
SEL
50%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ERB
2 - 0
BAY
30%
24%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WEI
3 - 2
ERB
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WUR
1 - 3
ERB
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +2 |