Bad Kötzting vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FRO
6 - 0
BAD
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAD
0 - 0
WUR
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ISM
1 - 2
BAD
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
SEL
3 - 2
BAD
38%
26%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 3
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 1
ERB
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
MEM
0 - 0
BUC
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 0
BUC
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
TSV
5 - 0
BUC
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
2 - 0
TSG
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |