Bad Kötzting vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BAD
1 - 0
NUR
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
WUR
1 - 2
BAD
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAD
0 - 3
TSV
45%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BAD
1 - 1
HEI
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FEU
2 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 2
WEI
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 2
BAY
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 0
UNT
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 0
BAY
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
WAC
2 - 3
BAY
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |