Bad Hersfeld vs Viktoria Urberach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SWM
1 - 1
BHE
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BHE
2 - 4
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAU
4 - 1
BHE
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
MAR
4 - 1
BHE
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
BHE
4 - 5
KKA
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Urberach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
URB
2 - 1
ESC
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 0
URB
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
URB
4 - 1
FER
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
URB
1 - 4
WUR
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 0
URB
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |