Bad Hersfeld vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BHE
0 - 7
FSV
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
8 - 4
BHE
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BHE
4 - 1
WUR
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FER
0 - 2
BHE
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BHE
0 - 3
KIC
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 3
ESC
29%
23%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 0
VEL
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
FER
40%
25%
36%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
KIC
2 - 1
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
URB
1 - 0
VEL
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |