Bad Hersfeld vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
BHE
1 - 4
SWM
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VEL
6 - 1
BHE
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FSV
8 - 1
BHE
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
BHE
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
KIC
0 - 3
BHE
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FER
4 - 3
KIC
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 2
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
GOR
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
EIN
3 - 0
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FER
2 - 2
ESC
26%
24%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |