Bad Grönenbach vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
67.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
BVB
2 - 1
MSV
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 2
BVB
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BVB
0 - 2
EIN
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
BVB
0 - 3
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |