Bad Goisern vs Gurten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Goisern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
GRI
0 - 2
BAD
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 3
STM
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 2
BAD
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 2
UNI
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
GMU
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 0
GUR
20%
21%
58%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 3
BAD
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
GUR
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -3 |