Bad Bleiberg vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Bleiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
UNT
4 - 1
BBL
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BBL
1 - 1
SCA
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
MAT
2 - 0
BBL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
BBL
1 - 1
KAP
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
WIE
3 - 2
BBL
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 0
LUS
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
WIE
3 - 1
WOR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 1
LAS
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
LBN
6 - 1
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
WOR
3 - 4
UNT
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -2 |