Bad Bleiberg vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Bleiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
LBN
2 - 2
BBL
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
BBL
1 - 1
LAS
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
0 - 3
BBL
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BBL
2 - 1
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
UNT
4 - 1
BBL
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
LUS
5 - 1
WIE
52%
23%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
MAT
0 - 2
LUS
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
LBN
2 - 1
LUS
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 4
LBN
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 0
LUS
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |