Bad Aussee vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
AUS
0 - 2
FCB
15%
23%
62%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
STU
5 - 0
AUS
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WAC
5 - 0
AUS
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
WEI
5 - 0
AUS
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 2
VOI
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
WEL
1 - 0
STF
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SVL
0 - 0
WEL
44%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
KLA
2 - 1
WEL
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
STU
4 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -3 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
WEL
0 - 3
FCB
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |