Bad Aussee vs Union Perg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
WEL
3 - 3
AUS
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
AUS
4 - 2
GRI
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
FCK
0 - 3
AUS
37%
27%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
AUS
7 - 0
KOF
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
VOC
1 - 0
AUS
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
UNP
5 - 2
KLA
28%
27%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
VOI
5 - 1
UNP
65%
21%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
UNP
1 - 1
STU
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
STF
1 - 0
UNP
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
UNP
0 - 1
FEL
23%
26%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |