Bad Aussee vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
SVL
2 - 0
AUS
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 5
WEL
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
AUS
0 - 2
FCB
15%
23%
62%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
STU
5 - 0
AUS
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WAC
5 - 0
AUS
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
KLA
2 - 1
STF
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
STF
4 - 2
SVL
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
WEL
1 - 0
STF
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
STF
1 - 0
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FCB
0 - 0
STF
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |