Bad Aussee vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
AUS
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 4
KLA
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GRA
8 - 1
AUS
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 3
STU
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 1
AUS
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
FEL
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
FCK
0 - 3
STF
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
WEL
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
STF
3 - 1
ALL
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KLA
1 - 0
STF
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |