Bad Aussee vs Leoben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
AUS
83%
12%
5%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
AUS
0 - 2
SVP
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 64 | 49 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SCL
2 - 1
AUS
80%
14%
7%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
KLA
4 - 0
AUS
82%
13%
6%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
AUS
1 - 8
STF
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2010 |
LBN
5 - 2
STF
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SVL
1 - 1
LBN
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
LBN
1 - 2
WEL
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
STU
2 - 1
LBN
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
LBN
0 - 0
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |