Bad Aussee vs Köflach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
VOC
1 - 0
AUS
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
AUS
0 - 0
ALL
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 2
AUS
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
FCB
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
WAC
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Köflach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
KOF
1 - 2
KLA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
VOI
0 - 2
KOF
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
KOF
0 - 3
STU
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
STF
0 - 1
KOF
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
KOF
2 - 2
FEL
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |