Bad Aussee vs Feldkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FCK
0 - 3
AUS
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 1
STF
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
AUS
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 4
KLA
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GRA
8 - 1
AUS
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Feldkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FEL
1 - 4
WEL
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
FEL
3 - 0
FCK
35%
25%
41%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
FEL
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
FEL
0 - 2
ALL
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
KLA
1 - 1
FEL
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |