Bad Aussee vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
WEI
0 - 1
AUS
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
AUS
2 - 2
VOI
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 1
WEL
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
SCA
3 - 1
AUS
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
AUS
0 - 1
GKN
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
AUS
3 - 2
RBS
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
AUS
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
AUS
2 - 0
TOB
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
AUS
3 - 1
RIE
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LAS
0 - 1
AUS
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |