SV Babelsberg 03 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Babelsberg 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SSV
1 - 1
BAB
42%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAB
0 - 0
SVS
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAA
3 - 1
BAB
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
BAB
1 - 1
SGD
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HEI
1 - 1
BAB
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 1
S04
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 2
COT
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
KSC
3 - 2
MSV
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 0
BUD
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MSV
0 - 5
S04
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |