Ba FC vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ba FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
REW
0 - 1
BAF
8%
18%
74%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LAB
2 - 1
BAF
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
BAF
0 - 0
LAB
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BAF
3 - 0
LAU
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAF
1 - 1
REW
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TAS
2 - 1
AUC
11%
24%
66%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AUC
5 - 1
CAN
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 2
WEL
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
91%
7%
2%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TEA
0 - 0
AUC
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |