Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-9
B 1901 Nyköbing vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
75.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B 1901 Nyköbing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
HER
4 - 1
NYK
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 84 | 74 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
NYK
2 - 4
HER
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 84 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
EIN
3 - 0
SHA
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SHA
1 - 0
EIN
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
MON
2 - 0
SHA
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
SHA
2 - 1
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCB
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |