Bærum vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 2
ROS
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
ODD
1 - 1
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
FFC
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
ASK
2 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEV
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASK
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 1
VAR
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
FKA
0 - 1
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
SSK
67%
17%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
ROS
0 - 4
VAR
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |