Bærum vs Strømsgodset II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
20
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IKJ
3 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRA
49%
22%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSK
2 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 6
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Strømsgodset II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
LEV
14%
19%
66%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 0
STR
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
ULL
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
GJO
2 - 0
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
STR
5 - 1
ULL
67%
16%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |