Bærum vs Skeid II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
4º
16
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FRI
3 - 3
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
IFL
85%
10%
6%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
48%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 1
BAR
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Skeid II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
0 - 0
AIF
77%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
SKE
56%
20%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 2
ASK
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
3 - 3
GOF
51%
20%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AFK
0 - 7
SKE
28%
19%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |