Bærum vs Ranheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 2
BAR
55%
20%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 1
KON
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ULL
5 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALT
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HAM
3 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ranheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
1 - 2
S08
41%
25%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
1 - 1
BOG
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
KON
2 - 2
RAN
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
3 - 2
NOT
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ULL
1 - 0
RAN
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |