Bærum vs Nesodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 3
BAR
22%
20%
58%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
KVI
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DRO
2 - 4
BAR
26%
22%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 1
SKA
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 2
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NES
3 - 3
ASK
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MOS
3 - 0
NES
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NES
4 - 1
OST
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
7 - 0
NES
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
KJE
1 - 1
NES
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |