Bærum vs KFUM Oslo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
5º
29
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 62 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 16 |
13º
|
98% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GJO
4 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
STB
31%
22%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
STR
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
KFUM Oslo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
SAR
63%
18%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
0 - 4
KFU
12%
16%
73%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 2
SKA
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
OPP
0 - 3
KFU
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
MJO
27%
20%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +4 |