Bærum vs Flint analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
4º
26
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
48%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 1
BAR
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAR
73%
15%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 4
KFU
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 4
IFL
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 0
MJO
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 2
AFK
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FRI
3 - 3
IFL
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |