Bærum vs Gjøvik-Lyn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
26
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
LEV
6 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
KVI
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
HAM
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
STB
1 - 2
BAR
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
SKE
30%
24%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Gjøvik-Lyn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GJO
0 - 3
TRO
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
STR
5 - 1
GJO
31%
23%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
GJO
1 - 0
IKS
13%
18%
70%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GJO
1 - 3
ULL
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
GJO
3 - 3
KON
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |