Bærum vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
3º
46
3º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 62 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 52 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 38 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 35 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GOF
2 - 3
BAR
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 5
STB
11%
17%
72%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
5 - 3
AFK
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 5
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
0 - 2
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 0
OPP
64%
18%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
0 - 3
KFU
12%
17%
70%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ASK
6 - 1
FRI
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -3 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 3
GOF
92%
5%
2%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
3 - 1
GRO
36%
22%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |