Bærum vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SKE
5 - 3
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
RAU
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HAM
2 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
KJE
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 3
BAR
47%
22%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 2
KFU
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
5 - 2
SKE
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RAU
8 - 0
FOL
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 2
HAM
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
KJE
3 - 1
FOL
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |