Bærum vs Drøbak / Frogn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOS
39%
23%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
FOL
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SKE
5 - 3
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
RAU
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HAM
2 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Drøbak / Frogn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
IFR
0 - 1
DRO
18%
17%
66%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
OST
0 - 1
DRO
53%
21%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DRO
3 - 1
SAR
41%
20%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ODS
1 - 8
DRO
11%
16%
73%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
DRO
2 - 1
STR
28%
19%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |