Bærum vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
29%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
28
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSK
2 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 6
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
4 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
KVI
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
GJO
3 - 3
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
ULL
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 2
BRA
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
KVI
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
5 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |