Bærum vs Askollen FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
5º
15
10º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 62 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 16 |
13º
|
98% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 5
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
0 - 2
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
KFU
71%
15%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GJO
4 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Askollen FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 4
SAR
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
1 - 3
ODD
3%
8%
89%
|
21 | 70 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 2
AFK
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ORN
4 - 0
AFK
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 0
AFK
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |