Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-6
Boldklubben 1909 vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boldklubben 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
B19
2 - 3
DBU
32%
21%
47%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1965 |
DBU
4 - 0
B19
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
RMA
4 - 0
B19
92%
6%
2%
|
54 | 94 | 40 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
B19
2 - 5
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 94 | 40 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
FCN
6 - 0
B19
78%
12%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
VNZ
0 - 0
NAP
34%
29%
38%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
37%
30%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
NAP
3 - 2
ACM
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ROM
0 - 2
NAP
53%
27%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |