Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 9-2
Boldklubben 1909 vs Alliance Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boldklubben 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
ALD
1 - 1
B19
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
RMA
9 - 0
B19
93%
5%
2%
|
54 | 93 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1961 |
B19
0 - 3
RMA
20%
21%
58%
|
54 | 94 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
B19
9 - 2
SPO
46%
21%
34%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
0 - 6
B19
73%
14%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Alliance Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
ALD
1 - 1
B19
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1961 |
ALD
2 - 2
CZJ
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 83 | 72 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
CZJ
7 - 0
ALD
86%
9%
6%
|
11 | 83 | 72 | 0 |