Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-9
B 1903 vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
49.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
DUN
5 - 0
B19
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
HAM
1 - 6
DUN
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
DUN
5 - 1
STM
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
DUN
5 - 0
B19
85%
10%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
STJ
1 - 5
DUN
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
DUN
4 - 3
PAR
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |