Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-1
Azuriz vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
71.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azuriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
CAX
32%
31%
37%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SLU
2 - 0
AFC
47%
28%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
AFC
91%
8%
2%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAH
4 - 0
LON
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
BAH
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
BAH
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
AFC
91%
8%
2%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |