CD Azuqueca vs CD Noblejas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
15º
10º
1
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 68 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 64 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 61 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 59 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 55 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Azuqueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 0
CDB
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
AZU
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
HBA
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UBC
4 - 0
AZU
64%
23%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 2
CDT
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Noblejas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 0
NOB
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 2
HBA
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
YUN
0 - 0
NOB
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 3
SCU
73%
16%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
T66
1 - 2
NOB
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |