CD Azuqueca vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
15º
10º
2
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 68 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 64 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 61 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 59 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 55 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Azuqueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
AZU
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
HBA
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UBC
4 - 0
AZU
64%
23%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 2
CDT
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 0
AZU
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
SON
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 1
CDB
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FUE
4 - 3
CDB
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
PED
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |