Azul Claro Numazu vs Saurcos Fukui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azul Claro Numazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 1
AZU
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
KAT
0 - 3
AZU
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AZU
4 - 1
FUJ
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AZU
1 - 2
FUK
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AZU
3 - 1
FAG
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Saurcos Fukui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ZWE
4 - 1
SFJ
79%
15%
6%
|
13 | 54 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
JUB
8 - 1
SFJ
93%
6%
1%
|
13 | 70 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SFJ
1 - 0
MSK
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 1
SFJ
82%
13%
5%
|
13 | 70 | 57 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SFJ
3 - 0
NUN
50%
23%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |