Herrera FC vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
8º
6º
11
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
3 - 1
AZU
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 2
AZU
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 0
AZU
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
SMI
34%
30%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UME
4 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
UME
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
61%
25%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
TAU
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |