Herrera FC vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
2º
18
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 0
AZU
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 4
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
IND
1 - 3
AZU
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
4 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 2
SFF
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
ARA
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
UME
59%
24%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
UME
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
UME
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 0
UME
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |